Itô's lemma is the stochastic chain rule. Derive the curvature correction for log and squared stock prices, then see why variance times gamma survives delta hedging.
Itô's lemma
Itô's lemma is the chain rule for a smooth function of a continuous stochastic process driven by Brownian motion. It converts a model for a stock price into a model for its logarithm, an option value or another transformed quantity. The distinctive term is a correction for curvature: random fluctuations contribute to the transformed process's drift, even when the fluctuations themselves have zero conditional mean.
That term explains why a stock with an 8% instantaneous expected growth rate need not have an 8% expected log return. It also produces the variance-times-gamma term in the Black–Scholes equation. Before applying the formula, be comfortable with Brownian motion and the distinction between drift and diffusion in stochastic calculus.
A formula you can substitute into
Suppose a continuous Itô process has dynamics
dXt=atdt+btdWt.
Here Wt is Brownian motion under the chosen probability measure. The coefficients are adapted to the available information, with ∫0T(∣at∣+bt2)dt<∞ almost surely on each finite horizon. For a function f(t,x) with a continuous first time derivative and continuous first and second state derivatives, Itô's lemma gives
df(t,Xt)=(ft+atfx+21bt2fxx)dt+btfxdWt.
All derivatives are evaluated at (t,Xt). This is differential shorthand for an identity between time integrals and an Itô stochastic integral; it does not assume Brownian paths have an ordinary time derivative. Extra integrability is needed when taking expectations of the stochastic integral and setting its mean to zero.
Read the formula in three pieces. Explicit passage of time contributes ft. Movement of the input contributes the ordinary slope term atfx. Curvature interacting with instantaneous variance contributes 21bt2fxx, the Itô correction. The transformed process uses the same Brownian driver, with diffusion coefficient btfx; taking a function does not create an independent source of noise. Hull's §14.6 develops this substitution rule.
Why second order survives
A small Brownian increment over Δt has scale Δt. Its square therefore has scale Δt, so the second-order Taylor term cannot be discarded alongside higher-order terms. For a diffusion, the accumulated squared increments produce quadratic variation
[X]T=∫0Tbt2dt.
This is the meaning behind the calculation rule (dXt)2=bt2dt, and behind (dWt)2=dt. It is not a pointwise equality for each sampled increment. If ΔW=ΔtZ, with Z∼N(0,1), then (ΔW)2=ΔtZ2, a random quantity. The rule records what remains after squared increments are summed and a suitable grid is refined. MIT's Itô-process notes explicitly introduce the squared-differential notation as a convention.
Curvature determines the sign. A convex function lies above its tangent; a concave function lies below it. Symmetric fluctuations therefore have an asymmetric effect after a nonlinear transformation.
Finite stock-price changes illustrate curvature. Logarithms lie below their tangent: minus 20 percent gives a minus 22.31 percent log change, and plus 20 percent gives plus 18.23 percent. Normalised squared prices lie above their tangent: minus 20 percent gives minus 36 percent, and plus 20 percent gives plus 44 percent.
Original function-geometry illustration. The log panel plots log(S/S0); the square panel plots S2/S02−1. Blue curves show exact finite changes and dashed lines show first-order tangents. These finite moves illustrate the sign of curvature; they are not a one-year GBM distribution or exact diffusion increments.
One stock model, two different corrections
Use a hypothetical geometric Brownian motion under the physical measure, with time measured in years:
dSt=0.08Stdt+0.20StdWt,S0=100.
The price is in USD per share, its drift parameter is μ=0.08 per year, and its volatility is σ=0.20 per square-root year. These are stipulated model parameters, not estimates from market data.
Log price: subtract half the variance rate
Take f(S)=logS. Prices remain positive under GBM, so the logarithm is well-defined. Its derivatives are
The concavity of the logarithm produces a negative correction. Over one year, E[log(S1/100)]=0.06. This is the expected continuously compounded return, not a statement that the stock's expected one-year simple return is 6%. The different quantities belong to different transformations. Hull's §14.7 derives the same general log-price correction.
Here the ordinary chain rule would give a drift coefficient of 2μ=0.16 and miss the extra σ2=0.04. At the initial price, the correct instantaneous squared-price drift is 0.20×1002=2000 in squared-price units per year. Squared price is a mathematical risk quantity; this number is not USD 2000 of trading profit.
GBM has the finite moments needed to take expectations here. Writing m(t)=E[St2] gives m′(t)=0.20m(t) and hence
E[S12]=10000e0.20≈12214.03.
An independent check uses the exact solution S1=100exp(0.06+0.20Z), with Z∼N(0,1). Squaring and averaging gives 10000exp(0.12+21×0.402)=10000e0.20 again.
Do not substitute the square of the expected stock price: (E[S1])2=10000e0.16≈11735.11. Their difference, approximately 478.92, is the stock price's variance. Nonlinearity changes the average as well as the dynamics.
Where the correction enters an option hedge
For a smooth option value V(t,S), write Δ=VS and Γ=VSS. Under GBM, the formula becomes
dV=(Vt+μSΔ+21σ2S2Γ)dt+σSΔdWt.
A local delta hedge subtracts ΔdS from the option's change. The Brownian exposure and the stock's μSΔ drift cancel, leaving
dV−ΔdS=(Vt+21σ2S2Γ)dt.
This is a local gains calculation. A continuously rebalanced, self-financing hedge must also account for its cash financing. For a non-dividend-paying stock in the frictionless Black–Scholes setting, that financing yields
Vt+21σ2S2VSS+rSVS−rV=0.
The curvature term survives hedging; the stock's physical expected growth rate does not. Positive gamma alone is therefore insufficient to establish a profitable strategy: time decay, financing, option price and actual trading costs matter. Itô's lemma supplies dynamics; no-arbitrage and replication supply the pricing restriction.
The formula itself also does not change the probability measure. Under risk-neutral GBM with continuous dividend yield q, the stock drift is r−q, while the same curvature correction applies. Multiple risk factors require covariance cross terms; jumps require additional jump terms. A kinked expiry payoff cannot simply be treated as a twice-differentiable function at its strike, although its pre-expiry Black–Scholes price is smooth under the model's usual conditions.
For a longer financial treatment, read §§3.4–3.5 of Stochastic Processes, Brownian Motion and Itô's Lemma: the substitution rule is followed by the exact GBM solution. The public page provides a preview; the full lesson requires membership.
Sources
John C. Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9th Global Edition, §14.6, equations 14.12–14.14, and §14.7, equations 14.17–14.19 — diffusion transformation and the log-price correction. Numerical examples and figure here are original.