An elliptical distribution is the probability law of an affine transformation of a spherically symmetric random vector: stretch, rotate and shift a law whose directions are uniform. It lets quants model joint risk factors with a common geometry while choosing light or heavy tails. The multivariate normal distribution and multivariate t-distribution are members of this family. Knowing that a vector is elliptical does not determine its tail probabilities.
Geometry plus a radial law
A useful representation is
Here is a fixed matrix of rank , is uniform on the unit sphere in , and the radius is independent of . The vector is the location and is a scatter or dispersion matrix. The law of controls how often observations lie far from the centre. Changing the scale of and compensating in leaves the law unchanged, so a scatter convention must be stated. This representation includes singular laws supported on a lower dimensional subspace. Hult and Lindskog, §2.3 give the general rank-based construction.
For positive definite , if a joint density exists, it has the form
It is constant along ellipsoids of squared radius . A nonmonotone can give the same density on several ellipsoids. Positive definite scatter alone does not guarantee a density: setting and places all mass on the unit circle, which has zero area. This is still an elliptical law. The ETH treatment, §3.3, explicitly conditions its density formula on density existence.
Scatter is not automatically covariance
If , then
Without the required moments, location need not be a mean and scatter need not be a covariance matrix. When component variances are finite and nonzero, the common multiplier cancels in their correlation. Hult and Lindskog, §2.3 distinguish this geometric parameter from moment-based correlation.
For a concrete synthetic risk-factor model in arbitrary model units, take a bivariate with , location zero, and scale matrix
The parametrisation is , where , , and are independent, and . This is the scale/shape convention used by SciPy's multivariate t documentation. Then
For a nondegenerate law, the mean exists only for and covariance is finite only for . In our example, has scale parameter but variance , where . Treating its scale squared as its variance would miss the factor .
Original synthetic comparison. The boundaries are squared-radius levels, not confidence levels. Both laws use the displayed scatter S; their covariances differ. The right panel compares probabilities outside the ellipses, not one-sided portfolio losses.
For this bivariate , , so . For a normal law with covariance , and the probability is . These are deliberately same-scatter comparisons. A comparison holding covariance fixed would rescale the model.
What survives portfolio aggregation
For any fixed matrix and vector , remains elliptical, with location and scatter . Thus linear portfolio risk reduces to a one-dimensional distribution. For a return vector and loss ,
when the scale is positive. Here is the quantile of the unit-scale univariate projection implied by the specified elliptical law. It is a normal quantile for the normal model and a standard quantile for the specified model. Elliptical geometry alone supplies no numerical value at risk; the radial law is essential. Nonlinear option P&L need not inherit elliptical closure.
Symmetry also does not imply independence. With diagonal scatter, a multivariate has zero correlations yet shares the random multiplier across components: unusually large magnitudes can arrive together. Heavy-tailed elliptical laws can have tail dependence; Gaussian laws with correlations strictly between minus one and one do not have asymptotic pairwise tail dependence. Elliptical symmetry also pairs upper and lower extremes, which limits its ability to represent different crash and rally behaviour. Hult and Lindskog, §§2.3–2.4 study these radial-tail distinctions.
For the Gaussian special case, the Multivariate Normal Distribution lesson develops density contours, linear portfolios and conditional distributions. Its public preview introduces the lesson; the full teaching requires membership.
Sources
- Embrechts, McNeil and Straumann — Correlation and Dependency in Risk Management: Properties and Pitfalls, §§3.2–3.4: spherical/elliptical definitions, density conditions, moments and portfolio structure.
- Hult and Lindskog — Multivariate extremes, aggregation and dependence in elliptical distributions, reproduced as Chapter 2 of Hult's 2003 thesis, §§2.3–2.4: rank-based radial representation, scatter normalisation, normal/ radial laws and tail dependence.
- SciPy —
scipy.stats.multivariate_t, Parameters and Notes: explicit location, shape and degrees-of-freedom convention and multivariate density.