“Hold” does not mean the initial allocation stays intact, or that losses become impossible with enough time. It describes a holding policy. The securities chosen still determine the portfolio's exposures and risks.
No trades, changing weights
Take two hypothetical assets, A and B. Invest USD50 in each, for USD100 in total. There are no dividends, external deposits or withdrawals, costs, taxes or corporate actions. Fractional holdings are allowed. Each period's percentage changes are simple price returns, which also equal total returns here because there are no distributions.
In period 1, A rises 100% and B is unchanged:
| A value (USD) | B value (USD) | Total value (USD) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 50 | 50 | 100 |
| End of period 1 | 100 | 50 | 150 |
For fixed quantities and prices , the no-distribution ledger is
Equivalently, for one holding period with start weights and returns ,
These expressions assume a fully invested, long-only portfolio with no interim trades or cash flows, and a positive ending value. If every holding becomes worthless, ending weights are undefined. Equal returns preserve the starting weights; unequal returns generally do not.
A reset changes the next period's exposure
Now suppose A falls 50% in period 2 and B stays unchanged:
| Policy | A at end (USD) | B at end (USD) | Total (USD) | Cumulative return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy and hold | 50 | 50 | 100 | 0% |
| Reset after period 1 | 37.50 | 75 | 112.50 | +12.5% |
A's doubling and subsequent halving return its price to its starting point. The buy-and-hold portfolio therefore also returns to USD100. Its second-period portfolio return is , because A starts that period at two thirds of portfolio value. Compounding gives .
The reversal is not evidence that rebalancing always wins. Change only period 2: let A rise another 100%, while B again stays unchanged. Buy and hold then ends with A worth USD200 and B worth USD50: USD250 in total, a cumulative gain of 150%. The reset policy ends with USD150 in A and USD75 in B: USD225, a cumulative gain of 125%. Trimming A helped before a fall and hurt before another rise. Future returns, the chosen holdings and trading costs determine the realised comparison.
Holding policy versus management objective
There is also a level-of-analysis distinction: an investor may hold the same number of fund units while the fund trades its underlying holdings. State which holdings are being kept fixed.
For investments that pay distributions, specify whether cash is retained, paid out or reinvested. Reinvesting dividends can increase share quantities without a discretionary change in the investment selection; a total-return calculation must account for those distributions consistently. Stock splits can likewise change the share count mechanically. The strict fixed-quantity ledger above deliberately excludes both complications.
Sources
- Qian, E. E., Hua, R. H. and Sorensen, E. H., Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management: Modern Techniques and Applications, Chapman & Hall/CRC, ©2007, §8.1, pp. 234–236 and §8.2, p. 236: passive weight drift and fixed-weight maintenance.
- SEC Investor.gov, Index Funds: benchmark tracking, passive management and implementation methods.
- SEC Investor.gov, Beginners' Guide to Asset Allocation, Diversification, and Rebalancing, “Rebalancing 101”: allocation drift, ways to restore an allocation, fees and potential tax consequences. Web sources checked 26 October 2026.